Senator Joe Lieberman (I, CT) announcement that he was prepared to join with Republicans to filibuster health reform that contained a public option makes Senate Majority Harry Reid’s task of rounding up 60 votes to pass health reform in the Senate much more difficult. So, without Lieberman is health reform dead? No. The Democrats are prepared with an option that will allow them to pass health reform with as little as 51 votes in the Senate by using something called “budget reconciliation.” This past summer the Democrats wrote into the budget rules that anytime after October 15th they could use the reconciliation procedure to pass health reform if they chose.
For this reason, some lawmakers have warned that a reconciliation health bill would have to leave out important provisions (such as consumer protections), resulting in the need to have two health bills, one containing the budgetary items and passed under reconciliation and the other dealing with non-budgetary and non-controversial items. Congressional staff are already working on splitting the bill. Of course the non-budgetary health bill would require 60 votes which might be difficult to obtain. Additionally, if getting one health bill through the Senate is hard, getting two bills through the Senate this year is probably impossible.
You may ask why Senators Lieberman, Mary Landrieu, Ben Nelson and Olympia Snowe would vote to waive the Byrd Rule when they would not vote for the health bill. The answer is that the non-budgetary items that would have to taken out of the health bill under the Byrd Rule are very, very popular among Democrats, independents and even many Republicans. These include insurance reforms such as not allowing insurance companies to use preexisting conditions to deny coverage or drop coverage when people get sick. It would be much easier to get 60 votes to support including these popular reforms in the bill rather than the public option. Conservative senators could vote to support the popular reforms but still vote against the final bill.
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