Friday, November 4, 2011

Cain GAINS support in spite of sex harass allegations


The sexual harassment charges don’t seem to hurting Cain among Republican voters, at least so far.  According to a just released Washington Post-ABC News poll, Cain is essentially tied with Romney for first place (24% Romney, 23% Cain).  Perry and Gingrich are essentially tied for second place (13% Perry, 12% Gingrich).   

Cain gained 7 points in the poll since last month, the largest increase of any candidate for the 10/2 to 11/3 period.  Gingrich gained 5 points.  Romney’s support remained essentially where it has been for months at 24%.  Perry and all of the other candidates lost support over the last month.

Cain’s continued rise in the polls may indicate that Republican voters either don’t believe the harassment charges or don’t care.  It will be interesting to see if poll results next month show a flattening or drop in Cain’s support, particular if there are more developments in the harassment story.  Stay tuned.

11/3/11 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                      ----- Among gen pop ----   ------ Among RVs -------
                      11/3   10/2   9/1   7/17   11/3   10/2   9/1   7/17
Mitt Romney            24     25    25     30     25     25    25     30   
Herman Cain            23     16     4      7     23     17     5      7   
Rick Perry             13     16    29      8     14     17    30      8   
Ron Paul                8     11    10     11      9      9    10     10   
Newt Gingrich          12      7     6      6     12      9     5      6   
Michele Bachmann        4      7     8     16      4      7     9     17   
Rick Santorum           1      2     3      3      1      2     3      3   
Jon Huntsman            1      1     1      3      1      1     1      3   
Tim Pawlenty           NA     NA    NA      3     NA     NA    NA      3   
Other (vol.)            *      2     2      1      0      2     2      1   
None of them (vol.)     2      5     5      2      2      4     4      2   
Would not vote (vol.)   3      1     2      1      1      1     1      *   
No opinion              9      7     5      8      8      7     5      9

Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_110311.html

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