Election Projection has updated its forecast of the
presidential election. As of today,
Obama would carry 27 states and win the election with 332 electoral votes. (270 electoral votes are need to win.) Romney would carry 24 states with 206
electoral votes. Obama would beat Romney
by 2.6% in the popular vote 50.5% to 47.9%.
Obama would also win in a contest against Rick Santorum and
by the same electoral vote margin—332 to 206.
However, he would do better against Santorum in the popular vote winning
by 4%.
Election Projection notes: “The bottom line remains as it was always going to be in this election.
If the GOP nominates a credible
candidate, this election will be a referendum on Obama's administration, and
that will be driven by the state of the economy. Lately we're starting to learn
two things in that regard. First, the economy is starting to look like it will
be moving forward between now and November - a good sign for Obama. And second,
Rick Santorum is starting to look like a
credible choice for the nomination - a good sign for Santorum.”
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