Virginia is a key swing state in the presidential
election. Republicans will have a hard
time beating Obama if they cannot carry Florida, Ohio and Virginia. For the first time a respected poll is
showing that Obama has gained a lead over Romney in a head-to-head matchup in
Virginia. A Quinnipiac University poll
released today has Obama leading Romney 47% to 43%. That’s well outside the
margin of error of 2.5%. In December,
Romney was leading/tied with Obama at 44% Romney to 42% Obama. What is interesting about this poll is that “Virginia voters still give the president a
slightly negative 46 - 49 percent job approval rating. They split 46 - 48
percent on whether Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office, but that
represents a serious improvement from December when voters said 53 - 41 percent
he did not deserve four more years.”
Quinnipiac says: “In
the Obama-Romney matchup, independent voters favor the president 45 - 41
percent, compared to a 41 - 41 percent tie in December. A gender gap is opening
up as women shift to the president, backing him 52 - 40 percent, compared to a
43 - 45 percent split in December. Men back Romney 47 - 43 percent, compared to
43 - 42 percent in December.”
This is more good news for Obama and more BAD news for
Republicans, particularly Romney. If
Romney cannot carry Virginia against Obama, then his entire argument for being
the nominee for Republicans comes into question.
Stay tuned. There are
a number of signs out there that Obama is gaining and that the Republicans may
end up in a cat fight that does their party real damage. And then, there is the issue of the economy
which may be slowly improving. And, the
Catholic church/Republican temper tantrum about the mandate for contraception
coverage may blow up to do damage Republicans much more than Obama. Right now, the Obama folks must be feeling
pretty good.
Read the Virginia poll here: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1700
No comments:
Post a Comment